The Application of Fractional Calculus in Modeling Economic Growth in Serbia

Kacapor, Enes and Valerio, Duarte and Radonjić, Ljubivoje (2025) The Application of Fractional Calculus in Modeling Economic Growth in Serbia. Fractal and fractional. ISSN 2504-3110

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Abstract

In this paper, we apply Grünwald–Letnikov-type fractional-order calculus to simulate the growth of Serbia’s gross domestic product (GDP). We also compare the fractional-order model’s results with those of a similar integer-order model. The significance of variables is assessed by the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). The research demonstrates that the Grünwald–Letnikov fractional-order model provides a more accurate representation compared to the standard integer-order model and performs very accurately in predicting GDP values.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: fractional calculus, Grünwald–Letnikov fractional derivative, economic growth model, prediction
Research Department: Macroeconomics
Depositing User: Jelena Banovic
Date Deposited: 20 Nov 2025 10:32
Last Modified: 20 Nov 2025 10:32
URI: http://ebooks.ien.bg.ac.rs/id/eprint/2250

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