Simulating policy reform : distributional and poverty outcomes of the new social welfare law in Serbia

Arandarenko, Mihail and Avlijaš, Sonja and Ranđelović, Saša and Vladisavljević, Marko and Žarković Rakić, Jelena (2013) Simulating policy reform : distributional and poverty outcomes of the new social welfare law in Serbia. In: Poverty and Exclusion in the Western Balkans : new directions in measurement and policy. Springer, New York, pp. 261-281. ISBN 978-1-4614-4944-7

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Abstract

This chapter presents micro-simulation results of the impact of a new social welfare law adopted in Serbia in 2010 on income distribution and poverty outcomes across households. Micro-simulations were conducted using a tax-benefit micro-simulation model for Serbia (SRMOD). The new law introduced a number of the changes to the eligibility criteria for the last-resort social assistance programme discussed in this chapter. These are expected to improve significantly the targeting of social assistance, both in terms of its expanded coverage and increases in the amounts of social assistance received by the already eligible households. Simulation results suggest that the changes in legislation would increase social assistance eligibility of households in the poorest income decile by 18.4 %. The average amount of the benefit would increase by about 10.6 % per adult equivalent. Finally, total fiscal expenditures on MOP would increase by 34.6 %.

Item Type: Book Section
Additional Information: COBISS.ID=512361058
Uncontrolled Keywords: tax-benefit model, Serbia, reform effects, social assistance
Subjects: H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General)
Depositing User: Jelena Banovic
Date Deposited: 16 Aug 2016 04:47
Last Modified: 16 Aug 2016 04:47
URI: http://ebooks.ien.bg.ac.rs/id/eprint/620

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